Actual racism or a false sense of fear?
If you ask many leaders on the left in this country, you will more than likely hear tales of concern over a possible loss for Obama due completely because of the color of his skin, not the content of his character or politics.
Hell, even our jolly decrepit old neighbor Fidel Castro chimed in on this very issue, stating that “profound racism exists in the United States and that ‘whites’ cannot reconcile themselves to the idea that a black person … could occupy the White House, which is called just that: white.” (I have to laugh at the accusation that “White House” is a racist slur… in case you haven’t seen it before, it’s PAINTED WHITE!)
NOW… grounding all of this racism panic in some polling (yeah, yeah I know), Gallup has been focusing on this very issue as we get closer and closer to the election. The results show that overall, race has little to no effect on the election so far… in fact it could be more positive for Obama than anything.
Effect of race on your vote:
Obama
More likely to vote for – 9%
No difference – 85%
Less likely to vote for – 6%
McCain
More likely to vote for – 7%
No difference – 87%
Less likely to vote for – 6%
When split amongst the respondents races, this is the outcome for Obama:
Whites
More likely to vote for – 6%
No difference – 86%
Less likely to vote for – 7%
Non-Whites
More likely to vote for – 15%
No difference – 81%
Less likely to vote for – 4%
For McCain:
Whites
More likely to vote for – 8%
No difference – 88%
Less likely to vote for – 4%
Non-Whites
More likely to vote for – 5%
No difference – 81%
Less likely to vote for – 13%
Now… taking that into account, the data tends to show less of a negative racial motive behind McCain’s supporters aimed towards Obama and MORE of a negative racial motive behind Obama’s supporters aimed towards McCain.
If you ask me, Obama’s skin color will do more to HELP him, than hurt him. I have seen and heard FAR more from people along the lines of “I’m voting for Obama, gotta help a brotha out!” than I have the opposite.

Jamie Holts
13 Oct, 2008
I found your site on Google and read a few of your other entires. Nice Stuff. I’m looking forward to reading more from you.
Oli
13 Oct, 2008
Perhaps it’s just less socially acceptable to admit you’re a racist.
I’m not saying that’s the case – just putting it forward as another avenue of thought.
Esther
13 Oct, 2008
I’m with Oli. The Bradley Effect debunks the legitimacy of such polls. Though I think the Bradley Effect is a bit overstated and also more consistent with a time 10 years ago, that’s the whole argument – it depends on the perception of the pollster by the person being polled on how it will sway his/her answer.
I take issue, though, with actually thinking his race *helps* his cause? Are you serious? That’s like saying that people refusing to acknowledge that he’s NOT a Muslim is helping him.
James
13 Oct, 2008
You insinuating that I am a racist Oli? PLEASE.
Esther – Obama himself KNOWS that the color of his skin is a HUGE factor that could ease his way into the White House. The man has played the race card himself.
Do I think his race has aided in his support from non-white voters? Hell yes I do… I’ve heard black McCain supporters say things like “I was going to vote for him (Obama) because he’s black, like me… but I don’t like what he stands for”, I have also hear people say they don’t even CARE what he stands for, that they’re voting because it would be “COOL” to have a black person as President.
Pundits, Obama staff members, supporters and other Democratic politicians want to chalk my support for McCain up to my lack of trust in Obama because he is BLACK… not because I believe he is the most dangerous man for this country.
Oli
14 Oct, 2008
> You insinuating that I am a racist Oli? PLEASE.
How on earth did you jump to that? No, of course I’m not. The “you’re” was plural (though I see it’s syntactically ambiguous).
To clarify: I was saying that some people might not admit their intentions to vote against Obama for his skin colour because to say something like that is admitting you’re a racist in a bad way.
The Bradley Effect covers standard “who are you going to vote for” and “who did you vote for” polls so I’m sure it’s massively exacerbated when you actually include a question focusing in on race.
I’m sure you’re right though. I’m certain that there are plenty of non-white voters willing him on but it was also my understanding that the vast majority of non-white voters were Democrat anyway.
Rob
14 Oct, 2008
I do not care at all what color Obama is. The man’s socialistic/communistic politics and things we know about those he has chosen to ally himself with (Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Bill Ayers,…) make him someone I could never vote for. I would not vote for a person with lily white skin with Obama’s allies and politics! So does that make me a racist? Definitely not!
James
14 Oct, 2008
To top that off Oli, I have ACTUALLY had a White Democrat say TO MY FACE that they were voting for Obama because they felt guilty about “what we have done to black people all these years”.
All you can do at that point is walk away… there is nothing you can say to that, that would further the discussion.
Dumbfounded is all I can say my emotions were during that conversation.
Oli
20 Oct, 2008
The BBC are echoing a concern over a possible Bradley/Wilder effect.
James
20 Oct, 2008
Re: The Bradley Effect…
It’s funny that you bring that up, since stations well known for their liberal slant, are slamming the concept of the Bradley Effect as being a bogus standard.
Even in the UK they’re shrugging the concept off…
http://timesonline.typepad.com/comment/2008/10/did-the-famous.html
Racist people don’t tend to hide their opinions. I don’t know anyone who is racist that hides the fact that they are.